Tag: rain

Ontario

How a Major Blizzard Stateside Will Impact Ontario

An area of low-pressure sliding out of Colorado will undergo explosive intensification through the day Wednesday. This will be an blockbuster blizzard for portions of the Upper Midwest including South Dakota & Minnesota. 40-60cm+ of snow concurrent with 70-90km/h winds will cripple the region.

BLIZZARD WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO

The explosive Colorado Low that will cripple South Dakota, will thankfully be weakening as it approaches Ontario. Snow will move into the Thunder Bay, Nipigon, Atikokan, Upsala area before midnight Thursday. Accumulating snow will combine with gusty winds between 40-55km/h, through Thursday night and Friday. It will be a good day to stay home and off the roads if you can.

Moderate to heavy snow transitioning to rain across Northeastern Ontario. Northwestern Ontario sees all snow from this system. Click to navigate the map and find your region.

Wawa to Timmins will see more ice pellets and wet snow, than rain. A transition to rain showers is expected throughout Friday Afternoon.

Kapuskasing to Hearst will remain as snow, where 15-20cm is expected to fall.

SOUTHERN ONTARIO IMPACTS

Strong wind, a surge of warmer air and rainfall will be the story across Southern Ontario Friday. A cool and partly-cloudy day Thursday, with patchy mixed precipitation. Largely confined to Southwestern Ontario.

Strong wind anticipated across Southwestern Ontario Friday morning. Strong Southeasterly gusts between 70-80km/h is expected north of Lake Erie and East of Lake Huron.

Temperatures in the afternoon will spike into the double digits across Southern Ontario. The Nations Capital Region will see the temperature climb near 9c. The trade-off will be a lousy day with occasional rain or showers Thursday. There is even a risk for localized thunderstorms early in the day Friday.

Ontario

Colorado Low Threatens Snow, Heavy Rain & Strong Winds…

Don’t let the calendar fool you – a bitter sweet transition to spring is expected. The final two weeks of winter will feature drastic temperature swings and at least one notable storm system this weekend.

An area of low-pressure will form lee of the Rockies in Colorado Friday. Deepening as it tracks northeastwards through the United States towards the Great Lakes Region Saturday evening.

Key Details:
15-25mm of rain across deep Southwestern Ontario & North of Lake Erie. Rain combined with snow-melt may lead to localized flooding.
10-20cm of snow for Northern Ontario. Heaviest snow falling East of Lake Superior & across the Nickel Belt.
Strong to damaging wind gusts for Southwestern & Central Ontario.
A surge of warm air in Southern Ontario precedes wrap around strong winds & snow

*Click image to toggle zoom.

SNOW FOR NORTHERN ONTARIO

Like many of the storms this season, this system will feature appreciable snow across Northern Ontario. A large swath of 10-15cm is forecast for Wawa, Timmins and Sudbury areas. Local amounts may approach 20cm.

MESSY WINDSTORM FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO

First and foremost, this is a messy system for Southern Ontario. Precipitation will move into Windsor in deep Southwestern Ontario around 6pm Saturday. Progressing Northeastwards across Southern Ontario during the evening and overnight. Main concern for along the Lake Erie shoreline will be heavy downpours combined with warmer temperatures, snow melt, and runoff. Minor flooding is possible; stretching into the GTA. Be sure to monitor any statements from your local conservation authority, as we progress through the weekend.

Strong to damaging easterly winds will develop ahead of the storm Saturday evening & overnight. The strongest wind gusts are expected East of Lake Huron. Including Goderich, where peak winds could exceed 100km/h late Saturday evening & overnight. The rest of Southern Ontario will have to contend with strong easterly winds gusting 60-90km/h through the overnight into Sunday morning. Once again, winds will strengthen out of the West Sunday, with the passage of a cold front. Frequent gusts between 50-70km/h is expected.

Considering temperatures will be teetering around the freezing mark, precipitation may begin as snow, freezing rain or ice pellets. Especially, South of Georgian Bay where elevation and heavy precipitation rates will aide in keeping temperatures below freezing for a longer duration. For Eastern Ontario, this system will bring more wet snow than rain. Refer to our forecast map for further details.

Ontario

Winter Reminder: Lake Effect Rain Showers across The Great…

Colder air is beginning it’s decent across Southern & Central Ontario. Gusty winds this evening gives-way to Lake Effect rainfall Thursday night through Friday. First ‘bout of the season serves as a reminder that winter is coming.     

Inland sections surrounding Agawa Bay to Montreal River Harbour will see Lake Effect rainfall beginning this evening. A transition to mixing or large flakes of wet snow is anticipated during the early morning hours Friday.     Location: East of Lake Superior.

Accumulating snow will develop in Lake Effect bands near Wawa Friday night through Saturday.

Lake Effect model simulation for early Friday morning. Animation curtesy of Weather Bell Analytics

Southern Ontario

Lake effect rainbands will setup tonight southwest of Georgian Bay and East of Lake huron. Owen Sound to Barrie to Orillia will be in for a chilly wet reminder that winter is coming. With rainfall bands meandering through the area.

Fairweather waterspouts are possible late Friday over Lakes Erie and Ontario, given the cold air aloft.

Ontario

Another Round of Severe Weather Targets Southern Ontario &…

Monday will be a pleasant seasonal day, dominated by high pressure and brilliant sunshine – across Southern Ontario & Quebec.

Wet, humid and stormy conditions start the week, with a risk of thunderstorms. Find out when and where.

SYNOPSIS:

Cloud, spotty showers, steady rainfall and humidity will make a return to Southwestern Ontario as early as tonight, with a warm front pushing northwards. Overspreading, the rest of Southern Ontario and Extreme Southern Quebec by Tuesday Morning.

Concurrently, an area of low pressure will strengthen along the Manitoba/Ontario border as it tracks towards Hudson Bay. 15-30mm of rainfall is expected in Northwestern Ontario. With wet snow mixing in across far Northern sections. 

2 WAVES OF PRECIPITATION

The first wave of precipitation will arrive overnight tonight into Tuesday morning across Southern Ontario, moving into Quebec by the morning – ending early afternoon. Some embedded heavy-downpours is expended in a swath from the shores of Lake Erie to Niagara. Elsewhere, expect light to moderate rainfall and predominantly cloudy, warm and humid conditions. Dry slot arrives in the late morning to afternoon.

We will be watching Southwestern Ontario closely Tuesday, as any clearing could further destabilize the atmosphere increasing the risk of evening thunderstorms ahead of the cold front.

SECOND WAVE; RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS

Associated with a sharp cold front – along a developing strong area of low-pressure forecast to deepen as it tracks through Northeastern Ontario and Quebec.

SOUTHERN ONTARIO

Thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front Tuesday night, persisting into Wednesday morning from East of Georgian Bay through Southwest Ontario. Isolated severe storms are possible. Bringing isolated strong wind gusts and heavy downpours. 

SOUTHEASTERN QUEBEC

A risk of isolated severe thunderstorms develops for Extreme Eastern Ontario and Southeastern Quebec late Wednesday morning or early afternoon, ahead of a sharp cold front. The primary risk will be damaging winds and heavy downpours. Isolated supercell(s) cannot be ruled out in Southeastern Quebec, but the risk will largely depend on timing & clearing.

GUSTY WINDS

Gusty southwesterly winds of 40-60km/h will overspread the risk area Tuesday. Becoming northwesterly through Wednesday. The strongest wind gusts of 60-70km/h will remain draped across Central Quebec and Nova Scotia.

Newfoundland and Labrador

Sorry Newfoundland – Some Regions to Receive Substantial Snow!


A strengthening low-pressure system will lead to a substantial – and unseemly – amounts of snow for parts of Newfoundland this week. Heavy snow, isolated freezing rain and heavy rain are probable.

Timing
Late Wednesday through Thursday.

Snow
The heaviest snow will reside around NE regions of Newfoundland where around, or slightly above 30cm, is possible. Undulating drier air and waves of moist air for N and NE regions of Newfoundland will allow for appreciable snowfall amounts, although somewhat localized on the upper-end of the aforementioned range due to the drier air. Elsewhere, 10-20cm is possible with slightly lesser amounts for Eastern regions of the province.

Freezing Rain
Localized freezing rain is possible south of Glovertown and SW of Eastport. Up to 7-8mm of accretion is not out-of-the-question, however, impact will be extremely localized; a mixed bag of precipitation – including rain showers – will melt much of the ice, nonetheless.

Rain
Heavy rain will inundate much of the Avalon Peninsula and the Southern Newfoundland shoreline and somewhat lesser, although still prevalent, near regions such as: Carbonear, Clarenville and Bonavista.

Wet snow for this entire region cannot be ruled out.

This is expected to be a reasonably significant system given the time of year – we know this it not the news Newfoundlanders want to hear!

Please adjust your driving habits accordingly.

Please stay tuned, as we at TCW are monitoring this situation attentively.

Drive safe and always be alert during hazardous conditions.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/TransCANWeather

Ontario

First Noteworthy Severe Thunderstorm Risk in Ontario for 2018


For the first time in the 2018 season, a risk of widespread thunderstorms across Ontario could occur on Friday, May 4th, 2018 – some potentially severe.

Synopsis
During Friday morning, many regions across Southwestern, Southern and Central Ontario will experience widespread moderate rain: an isolated non-severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. As the morning and day progresses, conditions will become drier, sunny at times, more humid and potentially lead to some severe thunderstorms. The severe thunderstorms that do occur will bring mainly a wind threat.

A somewhat secondary line of isolated severe thunderstorms could also sweep into eastern sections of the Niagara region as a linear set-up of storms will form near upstate Pennsylvania and western New York state; where this line of storms exactly forms will be incredibly relevant for this region. Should it form quickly and near the CAN/USA border (as current atmospheric parameters suggest), the region will be impacted; a formation more eastwards will reduce the risk and impact substantially, to virtually nil.

Potential Severe-Threat Timing
Afternoon to early evening from west to east.

Scientific Analysis
The greatest risk for isolated severe thunderstorms can be depicted in the ‘darker orange region’.
A slight risk for isolated severe thunderstorms can be depicted in the ‘lighter orange region’.
Mainly non-severe thunderstorms can be depicted in the ‘yellow region’. One or two severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out in this region, particularly along HWY 402, HWY 403 near Brantford and HWY 401 near the London-Woodstock corridor. Later on Friday, it is possible along eastern sections (ex. Kingston to Brockville and 50-60km east of Ottawa), an isolated severe thunderstorm is also possible.

Sufficient atmospheric energy at the immediate surface, as well as, 100mb and 300mb above the surface (SB, ML and MU CAPE) could be adequate to lead to severe thunderstorms. While energy is not astronomically high, and lower in comparison to the more traditional summer months, relatively strong dynamic forces should act as a sufficient trigger for isolated severe thunderstorms. Convective inhibition (CIN) at the surface as well as 100mb above the surface (ML-CIN), should reduce the risk of severe thunderstorms, and thunderstorms all together along the immediate northern shoreline of Lake Ontario: this will lead to cells rapidly weakening as they form near or just east of Lake Huron and usher eastwards. A relatively moderate lifted index (LI) will aid in dynamic instability leading to the greatest threat of isolated severe thunderstorms particularly near or just inland of Lake Huron and SE Georgian Bay. Storm relative helicity (SR) remains weak at the 0-1km threshold, and slightly stronger at the 3km threshold; this will allow for an increased threat of isolated severe thunderstorms in more of a linear format (although not encompassing a large area). Cyclonic updraft at the surface is virtually non-existent at the 0-1km threshold thereby limiting any tornado touchdown to virtually nil.

Other parameters including: Bulk Richardson Number, Cross-Totals, Total-Totals, Thompson Index and shear at the high atmosphere (6km) support isolated severe thunderstorms; although not super-cells; with a risk for strong wind gusts mainly to 90-100km/h as being the primary threat.

Non-conducive lapse-rates and wet-bulb zero (WBZ) coefficients will mitigate the hail risk overall to pea-size to nil.

Precipitable water (PWAT – surface to 300mb) is somewhat low for ‘torrential downpours’, therefore, residents should be spared a ‘flooding risk’ as typical with some severe thunderstorms.

Ultimately, the deepening of the approaching low-pressure system will be well-timed with strong uni-directional winds aloft, 500mb height-falls, and a jet-streak. Further, a sharp cold front is expected to eject through Southern Ontario between ~2-6pm thereby providing a trigger for these thunderstorms.

Across much of Southern Ontario, residents can expect winds gusting to 80km/h for many regions and locally up to 100km/h, irrespective if regions see thunderstorms or not.

Tie down loose patio furniture, patio umbrellas and chairs.

Remember, summer thunderstorm forecasts  – severe and/or non-severe – represent a plausible scenario based on extensive weather calculations, parameters and up-to-date atmospheric data. Nothing is for certain, but outlines a possible or likely scenario based on the aforementioned points.

Please stay tuned, as we at TCW are monitoring this situation attentively.

Drive safe and always be alert during hazardous conditions.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/TransCANWeather

Ontario

[UPDATED] – Historic Weekend Ice-Storm and Strong Wind Gusts…


A strengthening, and ultimately a strong low pressure system from the Central Plains of the USA will approach Ontario and Quebec this weekend and stall as strong High Pressure in Northern Canada will force the low to become incredibly stagnant over the regions. There will be breaks in the precipitation at times [and a couple pulses of significant moisture, especially Sunday], but overall, the ‘quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF)’, or measurable total precipitation will be high from Saturday through Monday.

It is important to note that this storm will have EXTREMELY tight gradients between precipitation types and amounts (and hence, temperature). One region to the next in as little as 20 or 30 kilometers could receive drastically different amounts of snow, ice-pellets, and/or freezing rain. The difference between -1 and +1 could pose significant changes in traveling conditions for residents across ON/QC.

Importantly, regions who receive ice-pellets should note that the water content for snow and ice-pellets are drastically different. While snow is, on average, 10:1, ice-pellets are typically 2 or 3:1. This means, that 20-30mm worth of ice-pellets will “look” drastically different than 20-30cm of snow. On our forecast map, ice precipitation totals are displayed in mm. Please note that this is the equivalent amount of moisture that will fall as ice pellets. If 25mm falls – 75mm worth of ice pellets would accumulate; 3:1 ratio.

What to Expect

1) Heaviest Snow Region: Colder air will invade much of this region leading to mostly exclusively heavy snow. Some snow will occur Saturday/Monday; significant snow through Sunday.

2) Mostly Heavy Snow Region: Colder air will also invade much of this region. Most impacts through Sunday and residual on Monday.

3) DRY-SLOT. Some of: Snow/Ice/Rain Region: There appears to be somewhat of a dry-slot that will force itself within the large pulses of moisture – one across Northern Ontario – one across Southern Ontario. This dry-slot appears to encompass a large swath. However, while impacts will be reduced, they will still exist. This region can expect between 5-10cm of snow (locally up to 15cm), and a mixture of 5-10mm of ice precipitation in the form of ice and/or ice-pellets. Regions around Parry Sound and east will likely receive more freezing rain (than snow), while regions around Ottawa will receive more snow (than ice). It is possible, that regions just south of Ottawa could receive ~15cm. Ottawa itself is likely to receive closer to ~10cm and brief ice or ice pellets.

4) Wintry Mix Zone Region: Much of this region will receive snow, ice-pellets and light freezing rain. The colder air appears to be digging in more and more, and as such, freezing rain will likely no longer be a large threat (but will still lightly mix within at times). Regions such as Wiarton, Owen Sound, Barrie, Orillia, Midland, Collingwood, Meaford, Bracebridge, Gravenhurst, Peterborough, Bancroft and Muskoka are more likely to receive snow (>15cm); ice pellets (>15mm) for regions a little south of a line from Owen Sound east to Barrie and due east to Brockville.

5) Ice-Pellets [possibly Snow] and Ice Region #1: The Northern Lake Ontario shoreline is expected to receive a mixture of heavy ice-pellets and some ice. There is some potential that snow alongside ice-pellets could fall thereby reducing ice-pellet amount and increasing snowfall amounts in the 10-20cm range (lesser snow and more ice-pellets closer to the Western and Central Lake Ontario shoreline, such as: Ajax, Oshawa and Pickering; more ice for Eastern Lake Ontario sections such as Kingston and Brockville).

6) Ice Pellets [possibly Snow] and Ice Region #2: This region in Southern Ontario is expected to receive a mixture of ice-pellets and ice. There is some potential that snow alongside ice-pellets could fall thereby reducing ice-pellet amount and increasing snowfall amounts in the 5-15cm range (the lesser snow and more ice-pellets will be towards the Lake Huron shore-line, such as Goderich – higher amounts of snow for regions closer to Owen Sound and Barrie, than regions further away).

7) Highest ICE STORM Threat Region: This region continues to represent the highest potential for significant ice. Widespread 25mm is likely with some evidence suggesting 30mm or more by late Sunday.

8) High ICE STORM Threat Region: This region continues to represent a reasonably high potential for significant ice. Widespread 20mm is likely with some evidence suggesting closer to 25mm.

9) Moderate ICE STORM Threat Region: This region now shows some risk of an ice-storm. Early rainfall on Saturday may keep the ground warm enough where impacts for much of Saturday will be somewhat limited until early to mid evening. Impacts however by the end of Sunday could still pose a significant impact/risk. Depending on the cold air, it is possible this region may extend due west along the 402 through Komoka, Strathroy, Watford, Petrolia and Sarnia.

10) Risk of Non-Severe Thundershowers Region: Extreme SW Ontario is expected to receive mostly rain. Non-severe thundershowers are indeed also possible early Saturday. Expect a heavy and soaking rain. Very brief or slight ice is possible (1-3mm).

11) Critical Zone – Heavy Rain and Ice vs. Location Region: The Toronto region represents one of the hardest forecasts in this entire ‘storm’. Toronto will be extremely location dependent. People who live near the lake-shore will likely experience mostly rain with negligible amounts of ice. However, within the city there could be roughly 5-10mm of ice, and regions outside the city, 10mm+ of ice is possible.

This is due to a strong easterly and stiff (but shallow) wind off Lake Ontario which will create a small plume of far less freezing rain than surrounding counterparts.

[UPDATED] Which Regions are most likely to be Hit the Hardest from Ice? How Much?

25mm or more of accretion is expected.

St. Thomas
London,
Woodstock
St. Mary’s
Ingersoll
Brantford
Port Dover
Tilsonburg
Stratford
Mitchell

[UPDATED] In Southern Ontario which Regions are most likely to Receive the most Snow? How much?

Snowfall of 20-30cm, locally higher.

Owen Sound
Wiarton
Barrie
Orillia
Collingwood
Meaford
Gravenhurst
Minden
Haliburton
Angus
Bancroft
Whitney

City of Toronto – A ‘Tough Call’

For right in the City of Toronto, it is expected that a strong easterly wind will result in a slightly milder air-mass at the surface. As such, we at TCW believe the city itself should escape some of the ice, in comparison to regions further (although slightly outside) the city.

Therefore, we expect Toronto to receive mostly rain [especially the lake-shore] – perhaps still some freezing rain at times, late Saturday into early Sunday — however, rain will likely infiltrate before and after any freezing rain, thereby melting most of the ice that happens to fall and/or stick to the surrounding environment.

Nearby cities such as Mississauga, Brampton, Oakville, Ajax, Bowmanville, etc, are expected to see some ice. The closer one is directly to Toronto itself, the greater chance of more rain, and less ice. Once you reach roughly 10-15km outside of Toronto however, it is expected ice will be of concern.

Notice: QEW Region (Niagara, St. Catharines. Welland, etc)

This region is also an important place of interest due to again, slight warming from Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. This means regions very close to Lake Ontario and Lake Erie (within 10km of the shorelines or less) will receive 15-20% less ice than regions further away. However, irrespective of proximity towards the lake-shores, it is expected still, significant icing will occur.

How Bad Will This “Ice-Storm” Be?

This ice-storm has the potential to be significant. While it may be slightly less significant than if this event occurred in the typical winter months (due to stronger April diurnal heating in addition to a wet ground from late Fri to early Sat), it will still pose a significant threat to travel, trees and could lead to widespread and significant power-outages.

When Will Most of the Icing Occur?

Regardless of location, even regions who receive lesser ice accretions, the most widepsread, and heaviest icing will occur between the late morning or early to mid afternoon hours on Saturday, through Sunday. Even more specifically, most of the heaviest freezing rain will occur early to mid Sunday morning.

Monday Temperatures

Many regions are expected to transition to rain of some magnitude during Monday (slowly beginning later on Sunday).

Northern Ontario is expected to continue with further snow however, therefore temperatures although may climb above 0C, relatively humidity will be quite low and moisture will be quite high, therefore, regions will continue with snow.

On Monday Night, snow (3-7cm) may usher in towards the highlands and regions such as Shelburne and north of Toronto as cooler air returns.

Watch for widespread gusty winds for many regions up to 80km/h.

Please stay tuned, as we at TCW are monitoring this situation attentively.

Drive safe and always be alert during hazardous conditions.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/TransCANWeather

Ontario

[UPDATED 04/03/2018] Intense April Storm: Snow, Thunderstorms and Powerful…


An incoming system will bring a mixed-bag of wet snow, heavy accumulating snow, rain and thunderstorms across Southern, Central, Eastern and Northern Ontario, as well as, Quebec.

Tuesday
Through the overnight Monday, an arctic front will descend south coalescing with a strengthening area of low-pressure tracking through the Midwest United States. Temperatures will be falling across Northeastern Ontario, the Nickel Belt, Manitoulin Island, and, the Bruce Peninsula with the passage of the cold front. Light snowfall will begin in the aforementioned regions overnight Monday into Tuesday. Continuing through the day Tuesday – lasting into Wednesday. Total accumulation will range from 15-25cm by Wednesday evening.

Tuesday Thunderstorm and Rainfall Risk: Southwestern Ontario
An associated warm front looks to be staying south of Lake Erie Tuesday afternoon, lessening the arrival of a warmer airmass into extreme Southwestern Ontario. Nevertheless, the track of the low will bring rainfall and embedded thunderstorms ahead of a cold front Tuesday evening. Primary threats include embedded heavy downpours, and gusty winds to 60-80km/h.

A cloudy and wet day is expected cross Southern Ontario. Generally, 15-25mm of rainfall is expected across a large swath of Southern and Eastern Ontario. Locally higher amounts of 20-40mm is expected in extreme Southwest Ontario (with local thunderstorms) and a parts of Eastern Ontario.

Wednesday
The strengthening area of low-pressure will continue on a north-east trajectory towards Quebec Wednesday. The passage of the low will be accompanied by colder air and powerful wind gusts across Southern Ontario. Gusts between 70-90km are expected Wednesday.

Residual snowfall will continue in parts of Northeast Ontario. Some Lake effect flurries may impact the snow-belts.

What’s to come?
Cold temperatures will continue through the first week of April, with continuing below seasonal temperatures through the 2nd and 3rd week of April. There is some confidence continued snow-systems will embed themselves across the region, with the potential for snow reaching as far south as the 401 corridor.

When will the cold relinquish?
As recently predicted and outlined in our Spring/Summer forecast, it is [and we expect] Spring to be relatively cool across much of Eastern Canada with above normal precipitation. However, we do believe more moderating temperatures will begin to enter the Eastern half of the country beginning very late April, and more prominently into early May.

Please stay tuned, as we at TCW are monitoring this situation attentively.

Drive safe and always be alert during winter conditions.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/TransCANWeather

New Brunswick

[UPDATED] Unsettled Pattern Arrives in Eastern Canada

Unsettled week ahead for the Maritimes to Ontario, including Quebec.

A formidable late winter snow storm has dropped impressive snowfall totals across parts of the Canadian Prairies in recent days. The same storm system has weakened and stalled over the Great Lakes, while aiding in the formation of a new surface low that tracked into the Maritimes.

The newly-formed system tracked up the Eastern Seaboard concurrently as a trough sits over the Great Lakes, becoming a weather maker for much of Eastern Canada.

ONTARIO

Predominantly cloudy conditions, with periods of flurries and wet snow continues Thursday and Friday across Southern and Northeastern Ontario. Trace amounts are expected for most, but parts of Southwest Ontario and Eastern Ontario could see several day totals approach 10-20cm. Actual ground accumulation will be less considering melting and settling.

—-

A more substantial in addition to localized snowfall threat will develop Wednesday morning, spanning parts of southwest Ontario. As a result of moisture enhancement off of the Great Lakes and a stalled trough over the region. A few wet centimetres is likely to accumulate east of Lake Huron. The unsettled pattern continues into Wednesday, Thursday and perhaps Friday. 5-15 centimetres of accumulation spanning the work week is expected. Highest totals away from the lakeshore and in regions of higher elevation.

MARITIMES

A moisture-laden system approaching the Bay of Fundy will continue to spread snow and rain across the Maritimes. Moderate snowfall continues to impact central Nova Scotia, PEI and New Brunswick. An additional 3-8cm of wet snow is expected to accumulate today, before this low tracks north. Precipitation will likely end as rain showers as temperatures warm. The heaviest totals from this system will be across a swath of central New Brunswick where 15-20cm is expected.

A second powerful storm system is expected to develop Friday lasting into Sunday. Strong winds gusting 50-70km/h and heavy snowfall amounting to an additional 10-25cm will be a concern.

Snow is expected to begin across Nova Scotia and PEI, transitioning to rain as the warm sector of the storm continues north throughout the day Thursday. Highest accumulations are expected in Cape Breton. Elsewhere, several wet centimetres will fall before a changeover to rainfall. There is still some uncertainties in exact track of this system(s). Once forecast confident increases, we will publish a region specific forecast for the maritimes promptly.

Primarily snowfall is expected in central and northern New Brunswick, with a changeover to rainfall near the Bay of Fundy.

QUEBEC

Flurries and light snowfall continue in Southwestern Quebec. A retrograding coastal low moving west-wards towards the Saint Lawrence river Thursday into Friday morning, will being heavier snow to Southeast Quebec and the Eastern Townships. Total accumulations are expected to be in the 10-20cm range by Friday evening.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.

Ontario

Snow, Freezing Rain and Thundershowers for Ontario and Quebec

A Low Pressure System from Missouri Targets Ontario and Quebec This Weekend.

A quick moving Low Pressure System from Missouri will track and swing through Ontario and Quebec giving bountiful types of precipitation.

As a result of its fairly quick speed, precipitation amounts will not be overly significant, but, still pose a reasonable inconvenience depending on the region.

The heaviest snowfall will be due East of Lake Superior with moderate accumulations elsewhere across Northern/Northwestern Ontario and much of Quebec.

Parts of Ontario will be inundated with patchy freezing rain, however, significant accretions are not expected at this time.

Southern Ontario, along the 401 corridor and East to the Niagara region, can expect 10-20mm of rain with embedded non-severe thundershowers and gusty winds up to 60-75km/h.

Please adjust your driving accordingly based on the current driving conditions.

For hourly and live storm updates around the clock, follow us on Twitter.
https://twitter.com/TransCANWeather