Tropical storm Michael is currently on a NNW trajectory off the Yucatan Peninsula. Michael is expected to strengthen throughout early next week.
Rapid intensification before landfall is possible given key factors:
1. The compact size of the storm. 2. Little shear along the forecast track. 3. 30c Sea Surface Temperatures.
Land fall as a strong Category 2 hurricane is possible near Eastpoint, Florida. Dangerous Flash flooding with 200-350mm of rainfall is possible in the Tallahassee area. Coastal storm surge and wind gusts upwards of 170-200km/h are possible.
Georgia, and unfortunately, South Carolina will also see significant rainfall and winds gusting over 100km/h based on current model guidance.