A series of moisture-laden impulse waves that will provide a strangle-hold through the Southern and Central USA states will push Northeastwards across Southern Ontario, Eastern Ontario and Southern Quebec beginning Monday and lingering into Thursday.
Several days of moderate rainfall will tally up the precipitation totals to respectable amounts; ranging from 20-80mm based on the location as depicted on our map.
Due to many regions still having a more than measurable snow depth, localized flooding will be a widespread concern, particularly across ‘Cottage Country’, Eastern Ontario and Southern Quebec.
For regions across Southern Ontario, many regions are still dealing with isolated and ‘patchy’ ice from last weekends ice accretion: watch for localized pooling.
While some models are suggesting 100-125mm is possible over a ~60 hour interval for some regions near Lake Huron and Lake Erie, this is likely a slight over-achievement and we expect the upper threshold of totals to be more in-line with 80mm, with many populated locales receiving 40-65mm.
Is it all bad news? Absolutely not! Warm temperatures will surge through much of the aforementioned regions and potentially ‘tickle’ record-breaking on Tuesday as temperatures surpass the teens.
What’s to come afterwards? Temperatures will cool off, however, there is no significant frigid or arctic air in the forecast until at-least March, and confidence and certainty is somewhat low at this time.
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